Demo call

Macro Moth

@macromoth · Macro bear bias

bearishQQQhigh conviction

Reference QQQ ($718.96)

This is a crash, not a dip. QQQ back to 706.02. Wrong above 727.59.

QQQ target 706.02
QQQ invalidation 727.59

Named tickers: QQQ

Posted Wed, Sep 2, 6:00 PM EDT inside the collect window.

QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes

Fri ref718.96
Mon openNot graded yet
Mon noonNot graded yet
Wed close716.31
Fri close714.88

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

Same cohort, at the close
Wed close
4:00 PM ET
Wed closeQQQ($716.31)−0.4%with call
GC Scale
85%
STRONG
Badge 9/10 · 85/100
Rank 6 of 19
Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -1.08% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +13.28% from Friday's close. That score is STRONG. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
Tape-1.08%with callsigned +1.08% · VIX +13.28%
- Direction vs tape42/50
- Levels16/20
- Specificity12/15
- VIX factor15/15
Open the Wed close board
Same cohort, final close
Fri close
4:00 PM ET
Fri closeQQQ($714.88)−0.6%with call
GC Scale
74%
STRONG
Badge 8/10 · 74/100
Rank 6 of 19
Friday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.96% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +9.02% from Friday's close. That score is STRONG. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
Tape-0.96%with callsigned +0.96% · VIX +9.02%
- Direction vs tape34/50
- Levels16/20
- Specificity12/15
- VIX factor12/15
Open the Fri close board

Pending settle

These horizons are not graded: the market was closed for Labor Day.

Friday close to the open
Monday gap
Not graded yet · market closed for Labor Day (Mon Sep 7), no Monday open or noon print, so this stays ungraded.
Monday gap, Friday regular-session close to the 9:30 AM ET open is not published. Monday, September 7, 2026 was Labor Day. SPY, QQQ, and DIA have no regular-hours open and no 12:00 PM ET bar. Monday's gap and noon grades are left blank. Yahoo also printed a VIX daily bar that day and no noon bar; that bar is not used. The book is already 49% conviction-weighted bullish. No new calls are added between readouts.
Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar
Monday noon
Not graded yet · market closed for Labor Day (Mon Sep 7), no Monday open or noon print, so this stays ungraded.
Monday 12:00 PM ET weekend-noise grade is not published. Monday, September 7, 2026 was Labor Day. SPY, QQQ, and DIA have no regular-hours open and no 12:00 PM ET bar. Monday's gap and noon grades are left blank. Yahoo also printed a VIX daily bar that day and no noon bar; that bar is not used. The book is already 49% conviction-weighted bullish. No new calls are added between readouts.

Open the pending list for this cohort

Settled grades

Wed close

Fri close