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Demo weeks are fictional accounts. The latest board quotes verified public posts and links each source. Market prints are historical Yahoo Finance prices. Not investment advice. Not affiliated with X or Yahoo. Fictional doom and melt-up book

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Piggo's Trading Desk

@piggostradingdesk · Short-term pressure

bearishSPYmedium conviction

Reference SPY ($761.69)

Major indexes remain near elevated levels but are facing increased short-term pressure as the 10-Year Treasury Yield moves above 5%. The combination of a 5.01% Treasury yield, elevated energy prices, increased volatility, geopolitical uncertainty, and stretched valuations increases the probability of continued sector rotation, profit-taking, and short-term pullbacks rather than uninterrupted market advances.

No level named.

No ticker named. Specificity stays at the floor.

Posted Wed, Sep 16, 9:00 PM EDT inside the collect window.

Original post

Dispute this grade

SPY S&P 500 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref761.69
  • Mon open766.25
  • Mon noon770.73
  • Wed close767.81
  • Fri close771.35

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday gap

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%against call

    Badge 2/10 · 13/100

    Rank 2 of 2

    Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.77% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +1.01% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+0.77%against callsigned -0.77% · VIX +1.01%

    • Direction vs tape3/50
    • Levels4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor6/15
    Open the Monday gap board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%against call

    Badge 1/10 · 7/100

    Rank 2 of 2

    Monday 12:00 PM ET, the open of the 5-minute bar: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.28% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +0.47% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.28%against callsigned -1.28% · VIX +0.47%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor3/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same cohort, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%against call

    Badge 2/10 · 13/100

    Rank 2 of 2

    Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.08% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +2.50% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.08%against callsigned -1.08% · VIX +2.50%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor9/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same cohort, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%against call

    Badge 1/10 · 7/100

    Rank 2 of 2

    Friday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.59% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +0.41% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.59%against callsigned -1.59% · VIX +0.41%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor3/15
    Open the Fri close board