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The Pulse Of The Market

@smtraderca · Cautious pullback

bearishSPYmedium conviction

Reference SPY ($761.69)

I hope you have picked up the cautionary messages as you were read through this weekly review. It appears the market is preparing for additional pullback. The market internals are flashing signs of weakness. All the major indexes other than SPX and NDX are in a near term downtrend pattern.

No level named.

Named tickers: SPX, NDX

Posted Sun, Sep 20, 12:52 AM EDT inside the collect window.

Original post

Dispute this grade

SPY S&P 500 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref761.69
  • Mon open766.25
  • Mon noon770.73
  • Wed close767.81
  • Fri close771.35

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday gap

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%against call

    Badge 2/10 · 18/100

    Rank 1 of 2

    Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.77% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +1.01% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+0.77%against callsigned -0.77% · VIX +1.01%

    • Direction vs tape3/50
    • Levels4/20
    • Specificity5/15
    • VIX factor6/15
    Open the Monday gap board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%against call

    Badge 2/10 · 12/100

    Rank 1 of 2

    Monday 12:00 PM ET, the open of the 5-minute bar: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.28% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +0.47% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.28%against callsigned -1.28% · VIX +0.47%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels4/20
    • Specificity5/15
    • VIX factor3/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same cohort, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%against call

    Badge 2/10 · 18/100

    Rank 1 of 2

    Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.08% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +2.50% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.08%against callsigned -1.08% · VIX +2.50%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels4/20
    • Specificity5/15
    • VIX factor9/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same cohort, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%against call

    Badge 2/10 · 12/100

    Rank 1 of 2

    Friday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.59% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +0.41% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.59%against callsigned -1.59% · VIX +0.41%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels4/20
    • Specificity5/15
    • VIX factor3/15
    Open the Fri close board