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Verified weekend book@smtraderca

Verified real call

The Pulse Of The Market

@smtraderca · Cautious pullback

bearishNo ticker namedmedium conviction

Reference SPY ($771.35)

All of these signs are telling us that things are not what they look on the surface. The ATH is a warning of the end of this bull cycle and not the beginning of a new one.

No ticker named

Graded on the SPY, QQQ, and DIA average, plus VIX.

Posted Sunday, September 27 at 9:30 AM ET inside the collect window.

Original post

Dispute this grade

SPY S&P 500 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref771.35
  • Mon open768.35
  • Mon noon765.49
  • Wed close762.63
  • Fri close769.64

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday open

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openSPY($768.35)−0.4%with call

    Rank 1 of 2

    Market-0.52%with callsigned +0.52% · VIX +8.68%

    • Direction vs the market34/50
    • Levels · none named4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday open board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonSPY($765.49)−0.8%with call

    Rank 1 of 2

    Market-0.88%with callsigned +0.88% · VIX +9.08%

    • Direction vs the market34/50
    • Levels · none named4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same week, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeSPY($762.63)−1.1%with call

    Rank 1 of 2

    Market-1.16%with callsigned +1.16% · VIX +9.89%

    • Direction vs the market42/50
    • Levels · none named4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same week, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeSPY($769.64)−0.2%with call

    Rank 1 of 2

    Market-0.26%with callsigned +0.26% · VIX +2.96%

    • Direction vs the market26/50
    • Levels · none named4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor9/15
    Open the Fri close board