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GradedCalls

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Piggo's Trading Desk

@piggostradingdesk · Short-term pressure

bearishNo ticker namedmedium conviction

Reference SPY ($769.64)

The combination of high Treasury yields, elevated energy costs, stretched valuations, and geopolitical uncertainty increases the probability of continued sector rotation, profit-taking, and short-term pullbacks rather than uninterrupted market advances.

No ticker named

Graded on the SPY, QQQ, and DIA average, plus VIX.

Posted Wednesday, September 30 at 10:54 PM ET inside the collect window.

Original post

Dispute this grade

SPY S&P 500 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref769.64
  • Mon open769.69
  • Mon noon773.30
  • Wed close777.22
  • Fri close778.57

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday open

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openSPY($769.69)0.0%flat

    Rank 1 of 2

    Market-0.06%flat vs callsigned +0.06% · VIX +6.07%

    • Direction vs the market14/50
    • Levels · none named4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday open board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonSPY($773.30)+0.5%against call

    Rank 1 of 2

    Market+0.33%against callsigned -0.33% · VIX +1.57%

    • Direction vs the market6/50
    • Levels · none named4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor6/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same week, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeSPY($777.22)+1.0%against call

    Rank 1 of 2

    Market+0.69%against callsigned -0.69% · VIX -1.50%

    • Direction vs the market3/50
    • Levels · none named4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same week, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeSPY($778.57)+1.2%against call

    Rank 1 of 2

    Market+0.79%against callsigned -0.79% · VIX -3.07%

    • Direction vs the market3/50
    • Levels · none named4/20
    • Specificity0/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Fri close board