Demo cohort

Same noise, next week

Another fictional weekend of crash calls and melt-up calls, graded on the real September 14 prints.

Collect Wed, Sep 9, 12:00 PM EDT → Sun, Sep 13, 5:00 PM EDT. Readout week of Sep 14.

Monday regular-session open vs Friday session close

SPY
759.00
-0.69%
DIA
524.54
-0.24%
QQQ
703.33
-1.62%
VIX
17.50
+10.48%

AAPL
334.79
+0.76%
IWM
287.49
-0.48%
MSFT
497.06
+0.29%
NVDA
211.24
-3.23%
TLT
80.82
-0.06%

Monday 12:00 PM ET print vs Friday session close

SPY
761.77
-0.33%
DIA
525.27
-0.10%
QQQ
709.79
-0.71%
VIX
16.77
+5.87%

AAPL
335.06
+0.84%
IWM
288.66
-0.08%
MSFT
504.08
+1.70%
NVDA
212.18
-2.80%
TLT
81.23
+0.45%

Wednesday official close vs Friday session close

SPY
754.05
-1.34%
DIA
515.22
-2.01%
QQQ
704.72
-1.42%
VIX
17.71
+11.81%

AAPL
332.41
+0.04%
IWM
283.92
-1.72%
MSFT
490.30
-1.08%
NVDA
213.90
-2.01%
TLT
80.88
+0.01%

Friday official close vs Friday session close

SPY
761.69
-0.34%
DIA
515.88
-1.88%
QQQ
721.45
+0.92%
VIX
14.81
-6.50%

AAPL
336.13
+1.16%
IWM
284.10
-1.66%
MSFT
493.78
-0.37%
NVDA
222.27
+1.82%
TLT
81.25
+0.47%

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Weekend Noise Index

Share of this cohort tagged panic, crash, or selloff, next to the equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA move from Friday's regular-session close. Descriptive only. Not a signal.

37% panic · 63% melt-up

Engagement-weighted panic share 55%.

Monday gap tape
-0.85%
Monday noon tape
-0.38%
VIX at the open
+10.48%
VIX at noon
+5.87%

Settled grades

Rows are calls that already have a settled grade. Watchlist and viral posts share this board. A horizon stays off the table until its tape prints.

Doom Siren
@doomsiren
WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 741.36, shelf 738.30. Cover only through 773.46.
bearishSPY
Reference SPY ($764.29)
Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%with call
80%STRONG
Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%with call
69%PROVISIONAL
Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%with call
88%STRONG
Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%with call
57%PROVISIONAL
Gap Fade
@gapfade
Monday strength is a fade back to 759.70. Resistance 767.35. Stop 770.40.
bearishSPY
Reference SPY ($764.29)
Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%with call
84%STRONG
Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%with call
69%PROVISIONAL
Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%with call
92%STRONG
Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%with call
57%PROVISIONAL
Doom Scroll
@doomscroll
Last-chance crash call. Markets are doomed into 742.89, or I am done above 771.93.
bearishSPY
Reference SPY ($764.29)
Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%with call
77%STRONG
Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%with call
66%PROVISIONAL
Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%with call
85%STRONG
Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%with call
54%PROVISIONAL
Macro Moth
@macromoth
Fade the grind. QQQ 700.58. Wrong above 723.46.
bearishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($714.88)
Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%with call
77%STRONG
Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%with call
66%PROVISIONAL
Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%with call
85%STRONG
Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%against call
54%PROVISIONAL
Open Selloff
@openselloff
Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 515.27. Wrong above 531.05.
bearishDIA
Reference DIA ($525.79)
Mon openDIA($524.54)−0.2%with call
77%STRONG
Mon noonDIA($525.27)−0.1%with call
66%PROVISIONAL
Wed closeDIA($515.22)−2.0%with call
89%STRONG
Fri closeDIA($515.88)−1.9%with call
54%PROVISIONAL
Vol Widow
@volwidow
Hedge the grind. QQQ 706.30 pays for the puts. Hedge off above 722.03.
bearishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($714.88)
Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%with call
81%STRONG
Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%with call
66%PROVISIONAL
Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%with call
89%STRONG
Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%against call
54%PROVISIONAL
Yield Yak
@yieldyak
Stocks up, bonds down. TLT 79.90. I cover above 81.68.
bearishTLT
Reference TLT ($80.87)
Mon openTLT($80.82)−0.1%flat
77%STRONG
Mon noonTLT($81.23)+0.4%against call
66%PROVISIONAL
Wed closeTLT($80.88)0.0%flat
85%STRONG
Fri closeTLT($81.25)+0.5%against call
54%PROVISIONAL
Dividend Druid
@dividenddruid
Apple grinds to 336.26. 329.61 is the add. I am out under 326.95.
bullishAAPL
Reference AAPL ($332.27)
Mon openAAPL($334.79)+0.8%with call
34%WEAK
Mon noonAAPL($335.06)+0.8%with call
37%WEAK
Wed closeAAPL($332.41)0.0%flat
31%WEAK
Fri closeAAPL($336.13)+1.2%with call
49%PROVISIONAL
Level Lena
@levellena
Accept above the reference. Target 771.93, supply at 773.46, invalid under 758.18.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($764.29)
Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call
34%WEAK
Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call
37%WEAK
Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call
17%WEAK
Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call
49%PROVISIONAL
Call Wall
@callwall
Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 775.75, invalid under 756.65.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($764.29)
Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call
31%WEAK
Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call
34%WEAK
Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call
14%WEAK
Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call
46%PROVISIONAL
Credit Crab
@creditcrab
Not brave, just long the index into 768.88 with a tight line at 758.18.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($764.29)
Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call
31%WEAK
Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call
34%WEAK
Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call
14%WEAK
Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call
46%PROVISIONAL
Futures Fox
@futuresfox
Hold the Sunday settle and auction to 770.40. Cut under 758.18.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($764.29)
Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call
31%WEAK
Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call
34%WEAK
Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call
14%WEAK
Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call
46%PROVISIONAL
Gamma Goblin
@gammagoblin
Dip gamma is long. QQQ 726.32. I leave it under 707.73.
bullishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($714.88)
Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%against call
17%WEAK
Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%against call
34%WEAK
Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%against call
14%WEAK
Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%with call
46%PROVISIONAL
Hype Spike
@hypespike
Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 729.18. Leave it under 706.30.
bullishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($714.88)
Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%against call
17%WEAK
Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%against call
34%WEAK
Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%against call
14%WEAK
Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%with call
46%PROVISIONAL
Nasdaq Nun
@nasdaqnun
Back to trend. NVDA 223.97. Out below 213.92.
bullishNVDA
Reference NVDA ($218.29)
Mon openNVDA($211.24)−3.2%against call
17%WEAK
Mon noonNVDA($212.18)−2.8%against call
20%WEAK
Wed closeNVDA($213.90)−2.0%against call
14%WEAK
Fri closeNVDA($222.27)+1.8%with call
46%PROVISIONAL
Perma Pump
@permapump
Melt-up, same trade as the weekend. SPY 779.58. Wrong under 752.06.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($764.29)
Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call
31%WEAK
Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call
34%WEAK
Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call
28%WEAK
Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call
46%PROVISIONAL
Tape Worm
@tapeworm
Microsoft reclaim. Target 502.57. Wrong under 489.68.
bullishMSFT
Reference MSFT ($495.63)
Mon openMSFT($497.06)+0.3%with call
31%WEAK
Mon noonMSFT($504.08)+1.7%with call
38%WEAK
Wed closeMSFT($490.30)−1.1%against call
28%WEAK
Fri closeMSFT($493.78)−0.4%against call
46%PROVISIONAL
Smallcap Sam
@smallcapsam
IWM participates this time. 292.93, with support at 286.58. Invalid under 284.85.
bullishIWM
Reference IWM ($288.89)
Mon openIWM($287.49)−0.5%against call
34%WEAK
Mon noonIWM($288.66)−0.1%flat
37%WEAK
Wed closeIWM($283.92)−1.7%against call
17%WEAK
Fri closeIWM($284.10)−1.7%against call
35%WEAK
Narrative Ned
@narrativened
Tech wants to be bought. You can feel it in the timeline.
bullishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($714.88)
Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%against call
7%WEAK
Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%against call
10%WEAK
Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%against call
4%WEAK
Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%with call
22%WEAK

Settled grades for Same noise, next week
Account	Call	Mon open	Mon noon	Wed close	Fri close
Doom Siren@doomsiren	WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 741.36, shelf 738.30. Cover only through 773.46.bearishSPY Reference SPY ($764.29)	Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%with call 80%STRONG	Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%with call 69%PROVISIONAL	Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%with call 88%STRONG	Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%with call 57%PROVISIONAL
Gap Fade@gapfade	Monday strength is a fade back to 759.70. Resistance 767.35. Stop 770.40.bearishSPY Reference SPY ($764.29)	Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%with call 84%STRONG	Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%with call 69%PROVISIONAL	Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%with call 92%STRONG	Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%with call 57%PROVISIONAL
Doom Scroll@doomscroll	Last-chance crash call. Markets are doomed into 742.89, or I am done above 771.93.bearishSPY Reference SPY ($764.29)	Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%with call 77%STRONG	Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%with call 66%PROVISIONAL	Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%with call 85%STRONG	Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%with call 54%PROVISIONAL
Macro Moth@macromoth	Fade the grind. QQQ 700.58. Wrong above 723.46.bearishQQQ Reference QQQ ($714.88)	Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%with call 77%STRONG	Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%with call 66%PROVISIONAL	Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%with call 85%STRONG	Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%against call 54%PROVISIONAL
Open Selloff@openselloff	Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 515.27. Wrong above 531.05.bearishDIA Reference DIA ($525.79)	Mon openDIA($524.54)−0.2%with call 77%STRONG	Mon noonDIA($525.27)−0.1%with call 66%PROVISIONAL	Wed closeDIA($515.22)−2.0%with call 89%STRONG	Fri closeDIA($515.88)−1.9%with call 54%PROVISIONAL
Vol Widow@volwidow	Hedge the grind. QQQ 706.30 pays for the puts. Hedge off above 722.03.bearishQQQ Reference QQQ ($714.88)	Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%with call 81%STRONG	Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%with call 66%PROVISIONAL	Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%with call 89%STRONG	Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%against call 54%PROVISIONAL
Yield Yak@yieldyak	Stocks up, bonds down. TLT 79.90. I cover above 81.68.bearishTLT Reference TLT ($80.87)	Mon openTLT($80.82)−0.1%flat 77%STRONG	Mon noonTLT($81.23)+0.4%against call 66%PROVISIONAL	Wed closeTLT($80.88)0.0%flat 85%STRONG	Fri closeTLT($81.25)+0.5%against call 54%PROVISIONAL
Dividend Druid@dividenddruid	Apple grinds to 336.26. 329.61 is the add. I am out under 326.95.bullishAAPL Reference AAPL ($332.27)	Mon openAAPL($334.79)+0.8%with call 34%WEAK	Mon noonAAPL($335.06)+0.8%with call 37%WEAK	Wed closeAAPL($332.41)0.0%flat 31%WEAK	Fri closeAAPL($336.13)+1.2%with call 49%PROVISIONAL
Level Lena@levellena	Accept above the reference. Target 771.93, supply at 773.46, invalid under 758.18.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($764.29)	Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call 34%WEAK	Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call 37%WEAK	Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call 17%WEAK	Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call 49%PROVISIONAL
Call Wall@callwall	Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 775.75, invalid under 756.65.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($764.29)	Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call 31%WEAK	Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call 34%WEAK	Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call 14%WEAK	Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call 46%PROVISIONAL
Credit Crab@creditcrab	Not brave, just long the index into 768.88 with a tight line at 758.18.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($764.29)	Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call 31%WEAK	Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call 34%WEAK	Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call 14%WEAK	Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call 46%PROVISIONAL
Futures Fox@futuresfox	Hold the Sunday settle and auction to 770.40. Cut under 758.18.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($764.29)	Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call 31%WEAK	Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call 34%WEAK	Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call 14%WEAK	Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call 46%PROVISIONAL
Gamma Goblin@gammagoblin	Dip gamma is long. QQQ 726.32. I leave it under 707.73.bullishQQQ Reference QQQ ($714.88)	Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%against call 17%WEAK	Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%against call 34%WEAK	Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%against call 14%WEAK	Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%with call 46%PROVISIONAL
Hype Spike@hypespike	Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 729.18. Leave it under 706.30.bullishQQQ Reference QQQ ($714.88)	Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%against call 17%WEAK	Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%against call 34%WEAK	Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%against call 14%WEAK	Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%with call 46%PROVISIONAL
Nasdaq Nun@nasdaqnun	Back to trend. NVDA 223.97. Out below 213.92.bullishNVDA Reference NVDA ($218.29)	Mon openNVDA($211.24)−3.2%against call 17%WEAK	Mon noonNVDA($212.18)−2.8%against call 20%WEAK	Wed closeNVDA($213.90)−2.0%against call 14%WEAK	Fri closeNVDA($222.27)+1.8%with call 46%PROVISIONAL
Perma Pump@permapump	Melt-up, same trade as the weekend. SPY 779.58. Wrong under 752.06.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($764.29)	Mon openSPY($759.00)−0.7%against call 31%WEAK	Mon noonSPY($761.77)−0.3%against call 34%WEAK	Wed closeSPY($754.05)−1.3%against call 28%WEAK	Fri closeSPY($761.69)−0.3%against call 46%PROVISIONAL
Tape Worm@tapeworm	Microsoft reclaim. Target 502.57. Wrong under 489.68.bullishMSFT Reference MSFT ($495.63)	Mon openMSFT($497.06)+0.3%with call 31%WEAK	Mon noonMSFT($504.08)+1.7%with call 38%WEAK	Wed closeMSFT($490.30)−1.1%against call 28%WEAK	Fri closeMSFT($493.78)−0.4%against call 46%PROVISIONAL
Smallcap Sam@smallcapsam	IWM participates this time. 292.93, with support at 286.58. Invalid under 284.85.bullishIWM Reference IWM ($288.89)	Mon openIWM($287.49)−0.5%against call 34%WEAK	Mon noonIWM($288.66)−0.1%flat 37%WEAK	Wed closeIWM($283.92)−1.7%against call 17%WEAK	Fri closeIWM($284.10)−1.7%against call 35%WEAK
Narrative Ned@narrativened	Tech wants to be bought. You can feel it in the timeline.bullishQQQ Reference QQQ ($714.88)	Mon openQQQ($703.33)−1.6%against call 7%WEAK	Mon noonQQQ($709.79)−0.7%against call 10%WEAK	Wed closeQQQ($704.72)−1.4%against call 4%WEAK	Fri closeQQQ($721.45)+0.9%with call 22%WEAK