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Demo weeks are fictional accounts. The latest board quotes verified public posts and links each source. Market prints are historical Yahoo Finance prices. Not investment advice. Not affiliated with X or Yahoo. Fictional doom and melt-up book

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Doom versus melt-up@tapeworm

Demo call

Tape Worm

@tapeworm · Tape reader

bearishMSFTmedium conviction

Reference MSFT ($483.24)

Supply sits in megacap software. Microsoft 474.54 if the open cannot reclaim. Stop 487.11.

  • MSFT target 474.54
  • MSFT invalidation 487.11

Named tickers: MSFT

Posted Thu, Aug 20, 2:00 AM EDT inside the collect window.

MSFT MicrosoftFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref483.24
  • Mon open483.21
  • Mon noon489.34
  • Wed close496.37
  • Fri close513.53

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday gap

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openMSFT($483.21)0.0%flat

    Badge 7/10 · 66/100

    Rank 5 of 19

    Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.09% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape-0.24%with callsigned +0.24% · VIX +5.09%

    • Direction vs tape26/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday gap board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonMSFT($489.34)+1.3%against call

    Badge 5/10 · 43/100

    Rank 10 of 19

    Monday 12:00 PM ET, the open of the 5-minute bar: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.20% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +3.83% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape-0.20%with callsigned +0.20% · VIX +3.83%

    • Direction vs tape20/50
    • Levels2/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor9/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same cohort, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeMSFT($496.37)+2.7%against call

    Badge 4/10 · 34/100

    Rank 16 of 19

    Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+0.04%flat vs callsigned -0.04% · VIX +0.53%

    • Direction vs tape14/50
    • Levels2/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor6/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same cohort, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeMSFT($513.53)+6.3%against call

    Badge 3/10 · 20/100

    Rank 18 of 19

    Friday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.48% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is -4.63% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+0.48%against callsigned -0.48% · VIX -4.63%

    • Direction vs tape6/50
    • Levels2/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor0/15
    Open the Fri close board