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Demo weeks are fictional accounts. The latest board quotes verified public posts and links each source. Market prints are historical Yahoo Finance prices. Not investment advice. Not affiliated with X or Yahoo. Fictional doom and melt-up book

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Wed close board

WeeksDoom versus melt-up

Collect Wed, Aug 19, 12:00 PM EDT → Sun, Aug 23, 5:00 PM EDT. Readout week of Aug 24.

What the tape did

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close. The cohort was 43% conviction-weighted bullish. Realized tape is flat. Weekend Noise Index is 53% panic posts. The crowd is fighting the tape so far. Descriptive only. Not a signal.

Conviction-weighted consensus

43% bullish · 57% bearish · crowd bearish

SPY+QQQ+DIA+0.04%flat vs call from Friday's close · STRONG line 70/100

19 graded calls

Watchlist and viral posts share this weekly board.

Same cohort, at the close · demo

Wed close board

Doom versus melt-up

Market print · not a grade

SPY
+0.05%
Wed close
DIA
+0.38%
Wed close
QQQ
-0.29%
Wed close
VIX
+0.53%
Wed close
AAPL
+1.33%
Wed close
IWM
-0.34%
Wed close
MSFT
+2.72%
Wed close
NVDA
-2.36%
Wed close
TLT
+1.52%
Wed close

Prints used

Recorded print at each checkpoint. Mon noon is 12:00 PM ET. Wed close and Fri close are 4:00 PM ET.

  1. Mon open

    Monday gap

    • SPY764.78
    • DIA531.83
    • QQQ709.66
    • VIX15.90

  2. Mon noon

    Monday noon

    • SPY764.52
    • DIA533.95
    • QQQ707.98
    • VIX15.71

  3. Wed close

    Wed close

    • SPY766.08
    • DIA534.23
    • QQQ711.37
    • VIX15.21

  4. Fri close

    Fri close

    • SPY769.35
    • DIA535.06
    • QQQ716.43
    • VIX14.43

GC Scale: STRONG 70%+, PROVISIONAL 40–69%, WEAK under 40%; 0% is EXIT LIQUIDITY.

Doom Scroll @doomscroll

Sun, Aug 23, 6:00 AM EDT · DEMO · rank 1 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY 746.58 is the crash magnet, 744.28 is the shelf. I cover only if 773.38 sticks.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • SPY target 746.58
  • SPY support 744.28
  • SPY invalidation 773.38
bearish SPYPanic · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 6/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%with call69%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%with call60%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat51%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%against call37%WEAK
Doom Siren @doomsiren

Wed, Aug 19, 10:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 1 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 742.75, shelf 739.69. Cover only through 774.91.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • SPY target 742.75
  • SPY support 739.69
  • SPY invalidation 774.91
bearish SPYPanic · Viralhigh convictionCall detailBadge 6/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%with call69%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%with call60%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat51%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%against call37%WEAK
Futures Fox @futuresfox

Sat, Aug 22, 12:00 AM EDT · DEMO · rank 1 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Sellers live above Friday's settle. Cash SPY rejects 768.02 and trades 755.00. Stop 771.85.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • SPY target 755.00
  • SPY resistance 768.02
  • SPY invalidation 771.85
bearish SPYPanic · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 6/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%with call69%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%with call60%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat51%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%against call37%WEAK
Level Lena @levellena

Sun, Aug 23, 12:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 1 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“756.53 is the magnet. I want 753.47 tested as a shelf. The short is dead above 770.31.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • SPY target 756.53
  • SPY support 753.47
  • SPY invalidation 770.31
bearish SPYPanic · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 6/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%with call69%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%with call60%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat51%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%against call37%WEAK
Dividend Druid @dividenddruid

Thu, Aug 20, 10:00 AM EDT · DEMO · rank 5 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Buy quality on the flush. Apple holds 306.88 and grinds to 313.06. I leave under 304.71.”

Reference AAPL ($309.35)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call
  • AAPL target 313.06
  • AAPL support 306.88
  • AAPL invalidation 304.71
bullish AAPLMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openAAPL($311.47)+0.7%with call37%WEAK
  2. Mon noonAAPL($311.68)+0.8%with call41%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeAAPL($313.45)+1.3%with call49%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeAAPL($319.70)+3.3%with call70%STRONG
Credit Crab @creditcrab

Fri, Aug 21, 4:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 6 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Credit is quieter than equities admit. Small caps wear it first. IWM 293.96, wrong above 302.96.”

Reference IWM ($299.96)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • IWM target 293.96
  • IWM invalidation 302.96
bearish IWMPanic · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openIWM($299.55)−0.1%with call66%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonIWM($298.46)−0.5%with call57%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeIWM($298.93)−0.3%with call48%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeIWM($295.75)−1.4%with call34%WEAK
Macro Moth @macromoth

Wed, Aug 19, 6:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 6 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Real yields do the work. Nasdaq gives the bid back toward 697.74. Out above 722.00.”

Reference QQQ ($713.44)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • QQQ target 697.74
  • QQQ invalidation 722.00
bearish QQQPanic · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openQQQ($709.66)−0.5%with call66%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonQQQ($707.98)−0.8%with call57%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeQQQ($711.37)−0.3%with call48%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeQQQ($716.43)+0.4%against call34%WEAK
Open Selloff @openselloff

Thu, Aug 20, 6:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 6 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 521.58. Wrong above 537.54.”

Reference DIA ($532.22)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • DIA target 521.58
  • DIA invalidation 537.54
bearish DIAPanic · Viralhigh convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openDIA($531.83)−0.1%flat66%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonDIA($533.95)+0.3%against call57%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeDIA($534.23)+0.4%against call48%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeDIA($535.06)+0.5%against call34%WEAK
Vol Widow @volwidow

Fri, Aug 21, 12:00 AM EDT · DEMO · rank 6 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Own the downside convexity. Spot does not need a crash, just a trip through 758.06. Hedge dies above 771.08.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • SPY target 758.06
  • SPY invalidation 771.08
bearish SPYPanic · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%with call66%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%with call57%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat48%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%against call34%WEAK
Gap Fade @gapfade

Thu, Aug 20, 4:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 10 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“A Monday gap down gets faded back toward Friday. Target 768.78, resistance 766.87. I bail under 758.06.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call
  • SPY target 768.78
  • SPY resistance 766.87
  • SPY invalidation 758.06
bullish SPYMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%against call37%WEAK
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%against call41%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat45%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%with call70%STRONG
Call Wall @callwall

Sat, Aug 22, 8:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 11 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 777.21, invalid under 758.06.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call
  • SPY target 777.21
  • SPY invalidation 758.06
bullish SPYMelt-up · Viralmedium convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%against call34%WEAK
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%against call38%WEAK
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat42%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%with call63%PROVISIONAL
Gamma Goblin @gammagoblin

Wed, Aug 19, 2:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 11 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Call-wall squeeze into 724.86 if the Sunday reopen is firm. Cut under 706.31.”

Reference QQQ ($713.44)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call
  • QQQ target 724.86
  • QQQ invalidation 706.31
bullish QQQMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openQQQ($709.66)−0.5%against call34%WEAK
  2. Mon noonQQQ($707.98)−0.8%against call38%WEAK
  3. Wed closeQQQ($711.37)−0.3%against call42%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeQQQ($716.43)+0.4%with call63%PROVISIONAL
Hype Spike @hypespike

Fri, Aug 21, 2:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 11 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 727.71. Leave it under 704.88.”

Reference QQQ ($713.44)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call
  • QQQ target 727.71
  • QQQ invalidation 704.88
bullish QQQMelt-up · Viralhigh convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openQQQ($709.66)−0.5%against call34%WEAK
  2. Mon noonQQQ($707.98)−0.8%against call38%WEAK
  3. Wed closeQQQ($711.37)−0.3%against call42%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeQQQ($716.43)+0.4%with call63%PROVISIONAL
Perma Pump @permapump

Sun, Aug 23, 12:00 AM EDT · DEMO · rank 11 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Euphoric melt-up. Weekend doom is the fuel. 781.03 is still the upside magnet. I am out only if 754.23 goes.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call
  • SPY target 781.03
  • SPY invalidation 754.23
bullish SPYMelt-up · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%against call34%WEAK
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%against call38%WEAK
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat42%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%with call63%PROVISIONAL
Smallcap Sam @smallcapsam

Sat, Aug 22, 4:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 11 of 19

PROVISIONAL

“Breadth catch-up. IWM 305.36 if the weekend was already priced. Invalid under 296.36.”

Reference IWM ($299.96)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call
  • IWM target 305.36
  • IWM invalidation 296.36
bullish IWMMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 5/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openIWM($299.55)−0.1%against call34%WEAK
  2. Mon noonIWM($298.46)−0.5%against call38%WEAK
  3. Wed closeIWM($298.93)−0.3%against call42%PROVISIONAL
  4. Fri closeIWM($295.75)−1.4%against call49%PROVISIONAL
Tape Worm @tapeworm

Thu, Aug 20, 2:00 AM EDT · DEMO · rank 16 of 19

WEAK

“Supply sits in megacap software. Microsoft 474.54 if the open cannot reclaim. Stop 487.11.”

Reference MSFT ($483.24)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • MSFT target 474.54
  • MSFT invalidation 487.11
bearish MSFTPanic · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openMSFT($483.21)0.0%flat66%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonMSFT($489.34)+1.3%against call43%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeMSFT($496.37)+2.7%against call34%WEAK
  4. Fri closeMSFT($513.53)+6.3%against call20%WEAK
Yield Yak @yieldyak

Sat, Aug 22, 8:00 AM EDT · DEMO · rank 16 of 19

WEAK

“The long bond leaks toward 80.82 before anyone says slowdown. Invalid above 82.87.”

Reference TLT ($82.05)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%against callQQQ-0.29%with callVIX+0.53%with call
  • TLT target 80.82
  • TLT invalidation 82.87
bearish TLTPanic · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bearish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openTLT($82.49)+0.5%against call66%PROVISIONAL
  2. Mon noonTLT($82.61)+0.7%against call57%PROVISIONAL
  3. Wed closeTLT($83.30)+1.5%against call34%WEAK
  4. Fri closeTLT($82.88)+1.0%against call20%WEAK
Nasdaq Nun @nasdaqnun

Fri, Aug 21, 8:00 AM EDT · DEMO · rank 18 of 19

WEAK

“Leaders do not die on one weekend. NVDA 221.16 this week. Wrong under 210.43.”

Reference NVDA ($214.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call
  • NVDA target 221.16
  • NVDA invalidation 210.43
bullish NVDAMelt-up · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 3/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openNVDA($215.53)+0.4%with call34%WEAK
  2. Mon noonNVDA($210.24)−2.1%against call24%WEAK
  3. Wed closeNVDA($209.66)−2.4%against call28%WEAK
  4. Fri closeNVDA($217.55)+1.3%with call63%PROVISIONAL
Narrative Ned @narrativened

Sun, Aug 23, 4:00 PM EDT · DEMO · rank 19 of 19

WEAK

“Feels like they want to buy any weakness. The soft-landing crowd is not leaving.”

Reference SPY ($765.72)

SPY+0.05%flat vs callDIA+0.38%with callQQQ-0.29%against callVIX+0.53%against call

No level named.

bullish SPYMelt-up · Watchlistlow convictionCall detailBadge 2/10

Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.04% from Friday's regular-session close, flat versus this bullish call. VIX is +0.53% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

  1. Mon openSPY($764.78)−0.1%against call10%WEAK
  2. Mon noonSPY($764.52)−0.2%against call14%WEAK
  3. Wed closeSPY($766.08)0.0%flat18%WEAK
  4. Fri closeSPY($769.35)+0.5%with call39%WEAK