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Demo weeks are fictional accounts. The latest board quotes verified public posts and links each source. Market prints are historical Yahoo Finance prices. Not investment advice. Not affiliated with X or Yahoo. Fictional doom and melt-up book

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Panic with a pin@macromoth

Demo call

Macro Moth

@macromoth · Macro bear bias

bearishQQQmedium conviction

Reference QQQ ($716.43)

Leadership rolls. 702.10 on QQQ if the range breaks down. Invalid above 725.03.

  • QQQ target 702.10
  • QQQ invalidation 725.03

Named tickers: QQQ

Posted Wed, Aug 26, 6:00 PM EDT inside the collect window.

QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref716.43
  • Mon open715.17
  • Mon noon713.97
  • Wed close709.24
  • Fri close718.96

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday gap

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openQQQ($715.17)−0.2%with call

    Badge 7/10 · 66/100

    Rank 4 of 19

    Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape-0.24%with callsigned +0.24% · VIX +5.61%

    • Direction vs tape26/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday gap board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonQQQ($713.97)−0.3%with call

    Badge 7/10 · 66/100

    Rank 4 of 19

    Monday 12:00 PM ET, the open of the 5-minute bar: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.49% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.68% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape-0.49%with callsigned +0.49% · VIX +5.68%

    • Direction vs tape26/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same cohort, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeQQQ($709.24)−1.0%with call

    Badge 8/10 · 74/100

    Rank 4 of 19

    Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.79% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.34% from Friday's close. That score is STRONG. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape-0.79%with callsigned +0.79% · VIX +5.34%

    • Direction vs tape34/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor12/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same cohort, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeQQQ($718.96)+0.4%against call

    Badge 5/10 · 44/100

    Rank 13 of 19

    Friday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.09% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +0.69% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+0.09%against callsigned -0.09% · VIX +0.69%

    • Direction vs tape10/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor6/15
    Open the Fri close board