“WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 746.27, shelf 743.19. Cover only through 778.58.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
- SPY target 746.27
- SPY support 743.19
- SPY invalidation 778.58
bearish SPYPanic · Viralhigh convictionCall detailBadge 7/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Fail at 771.66 and rotate back to 766.27. This is not a breakdown call. Stop 773.97.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
- SPY target 766.27
- SPY resistance 771.66
- SPY invalidation 773.97
bearish SPYPanic · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 7/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Fade a Monday pop back to 715.00 on QQQ. Resistance 719.30. Wrong above 722.16.”
Reference QQQ ($716.43)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
- QQQ target 715.00
- QQQ resistance 719.30
- QQQ invalidation 722.16
bearish QQQPanic · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 7/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“No credit stress, but I do not want small-cap beta. 291.02 if it slips. Stop 298.71.”
Reference IWM ($295.75)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
- IWM target 291.02
- IWM invalidation 298.71
bearish IWMPanic · Watchlistlow convictionCall detailBadge 7/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“This calm is the crash setup. 746.27 is in play. I am wrong above 778.58.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
- SPY target 746.27
- SPY invalidation 778.58
bearish SPYPanic · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 7/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Leadership rolls. 702.10 on QQQ if the range breaks down. Invalid above 725.03.”
Reference QQQ ($716.43)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
- QQQ target 702.10
- QQQ invalidation 725.03
bearish QQQPanic · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 7/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 524.36. Wrong above 540.41.”
Reference DIA ($535.06)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
- DIA target 524.36
- DIA invalidation 540.41
bearish DIAPanic · Viralhigh convictionCall detailBadge 7/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Realized stays quiet, but a drift under 760.12 pays the hedge. Stop 775.50.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
- SPY target 760.12
- SPY invalidation 775.50
bearish SPYPanic · Watchlistlow convictionCall detailBadge 7/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Something about this tape feels tired. I would not chase strength.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✓SPY-0.26%with call✓DIA-0.28%with call✓QQQ-0.18%with call✓VIX+5.61%with call
bearish SPYPanic · Watchlistlow convictionCall detailBadge 5/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, with this bearish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is PROVISIONAL. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Apple respects 317.78 and tags 322.90. I leave the add under 315.86.”
Reference AAPL ($319.70)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- AAPL target 322.90
- AAPL support 317.78
- AAPL invalidation 315.86
bullish AAPLMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Pin just over Friday. Long against 767.81, resistance 773.20, target a tag of 772.43. Out under 764.73.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- SPY target 772.43
- SPY support 767.81
- SPY resistance 773.20
- SPY invalidation 764.73
bullish SPYMelt-up · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“IWM holds 293.98 and squeezes toward 299.89. Invalid under 292.20.”
Reference IWM ($295.75)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- IWM target 299.89
- IWM support 293.98
- IWM invalidation 292.20
bullish IWMMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Microsoft is a 516.61 magnet. Long into that print, out through 508.39. Resistance sits at 517.64.”
Reference MSFT ($513.53)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- MSFT target 516.61
- MSFT resistance 517.64
- MSFT invalidation 508.39
bullish MSFTMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 780.89, invalid under 761.66.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- SPY target 780.89
- SPY invalidation 761.66
bullish SPYMelt-up · Viralmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Gamma pins, then releases higher toward 778.58. I am out under 763.20.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- SPY target 778.58
- SPY invalidation 763.20
bullish SPYMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 730.76. Leave it under 707.83.”
Reference QQQ ($716.43)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- QQQ target 730.76
- QQQ invalidation 707.83
bullish QQQMelt-up · Viralhigh convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“NVDA bases and pushes 222.99. Leave it under 213.63.”
Reference NVDA ($217.55)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- NVDA target 222.99
- NVDA invalidation 213.63
bullish NVDAMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Melt-up after the quiet posts. 784.74 is still the number. I am wrong under 755.50.”
Reference SPY ($769.35)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- SPY target 784.74
- SPY invalidation 755.50
bullish SPYMelt-up · Watchlisthigh convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.
“Yields stall here. TLT back to 83.87. Out if 82.05 breaks.”
Reference TLT ($82.88)
✗SPY-0.26%against call✗DIA-0.28%against call✗QQQ-0.18%against call✗VIX+5.61%against call
- TLT target 83.87
- TLT invalidation 82.05
bullish TLTMelt-up · Watchlistmedium convictionCall detailBadge 4/10 Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are -0.24% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bullish call. VIX is +5.61% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.