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Demo weeks are fictional accounts. The latest board quotes verified public posts and links each source. Market prints are historical Yahoo Finance prices. Not investment advice. Not affiliated with X or Yahoo. Fictional doom and melt-up book

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DEMO weekend book@volwidow

Demo call

Vol Widow

@volwidow · Convexity hedge

bearishQQQlow conviction

Reference QQQ ($721.45)

Keep the hedge on. QQQ 715.68 is enough to pay for it. Off above 730.11.

  • QQQ target 715.68
  • QQQ invalidation 730.11

Named tickers: QQQ

Posted Fri, Sep 18, 12:00 AM EDT inside the collect window.

QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETFFriday session close, Monday noon, then the official closes
Fri refMon openMon noonWed closeFri close
  • Fri ref721.45
  • Mon open727.89
  • Mon noon737.15
  • Wed close741.21
  • Fri close744.50

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Settled grades

The words do not change. Each settled horizon rescores this call against recorded prints measured from Friday's regular-session close.

  1. Friday close to the open

    Monday gap

    9:30 AM ET

    Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%against call

    Badge 4/10 · 37/100

    Rank 15 of 19

    Monday gap, from Friday's regular-session close to the regular-session open: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +0.77% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +1.01% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+0.77%against callsigned -0.77% · VIX +1.01%

    • Direction vs tape3/50
    • Levels16/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor6/15
    Open the Monday gap board

  2. Open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar

    Monday noon

    12:00 PM ET

    Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%against call

    Badge 2/10 · 17/100

    Rank 18 of 19

    Monday 12:00 PM ET, the open of the 5-minute bar: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.28% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +0.47% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.28%against callsigned -1.28% · VIX +0.47%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels2/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor3/15
    Open the Monday noon board

  3. Same cohort, at the close

    Wed close

    4:00 PM ET

    Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%against call

    Badge 3/10 · 23/100

    Rank 18 of 19

    Wednesday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.08% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +2.50% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.08%against callsigned -1.08% · VIX +2.50%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels2/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor9/15
    Open the Wed close board

  4. Same cohort, final close

    Fri close

    4:00 PM ET

    Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%against call

    Badge 2/10 · 17/100

    Rank 17 of 19

    Friday close, same weekend cohort: equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA are +1.59% from Friday's regular-session close, against this bearish call. VIX is +0.41% from Friday's close. That score is WEAK. This is a scorecard, not a signal.

    Tape+1.59%against callsigned -1.59% · VIX +0.41%

    • Direction vs tape0/50
    • Levels2/20
    • Specificity12/15
    • VIX factor3/15
    Open the Fri close board