Demo cohort

DEMO weekend book

DEMO. Fictional doom and melt-up posts, quarantined off the live board. Monday's real open and noon prints are in. Wednesday, September 23 and Friday, September 25 are those days' official closes.

Collect Wed, Sep 16, 12:00 PM EDT → Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM EDT. Readout week of Sep 21.

Monday regular-session open vs Friday session close

SPY
766.25
+0.60%
DIA
520.03
+0.80%
QQQ
727.89
+0.89%
VIX
14.96
+1.01%

AAPL
335.28
-0.25%
IWM
286.27
+0.76%
MSFT
494.95
+0.24%
NVDA
222.94
+0.30%
TLT
81.72
+0.58%

Monday 12:00 PM ET print vs Friday session close

SPY
770.73
+1.19%
DIA
518.34
+0.48%
QQQ
737.15
+2.18%
VIX
14.88
+0.47%

AAPL
337.73
+0.48%
IWM
285.93
+0.64%
MSFT
493.99
+0.04%
NVDA
225.10
+1.28%
TLT
81.64
+0.48%

Wednesday official close vs Friday session close

SPY
767.81
+0.80%
DIA
514.30
-0.31%
QQQ
741.21
+2.74%
VIX
15.18
+2.50%

AAPL
337.02
+0.26%
IWM
281.92
-0.77%
MSFT
500.59
+1.38%
NVDA
225.51
+1.46%
TLT
80.46
-0.97%

Friday official close vs Friday session close

SPY
771.35
+1.27%
DIA
517.49
+0.31%
QQQ
744.50
+3.19%
VIX
14.87
+0.41%

AAPL
341.07
+1.47%
IWM
281.97
-0.75%
MSFT
516.17
+4.53%
NVDA
225.07
+1.26%
TLT
79.32
-2.38%

Weekend reference is the prior Friday Yahoo Finance regular-session close for SPY, QQQ, DIA, and VIX. Monday's gap uses the regular-session open. Monday noon is the open of the 12:00 PM ET 5-minute bar. Wednesday and Friday use the official daily close (4:00 PM ET, or 1:00 PM ET on an early close). A closed session or a close that is not due yet is left blank.

Weekend Noise Index

Share of this cohort tagged panic, crash, or selloff, next to the equal-weight SPY, QQQ, and DIA move from Friday's regular-session close. Descriptive only. Not a signal.

37% panic · 63% melt-up

Engagement-weighted panic share 55%.

Monday gap tape
+0.77%
Monday noon tape
+1.28%
VIX at the open
+1.01%
VIX at noon
+0.47%

Settled grades

Rows are calls that already have a settled grade. Watchlist and viral posts share this board. A horizon stays off the table until its tape prints.

Dividend Druid
@dividenddruid
Apple holds 334.11 and works toward 340.16. I leave under 332.10.
bullishAAPL
Reference AAPL ($336.13)
Mon openAAPL($335.28)−0.3%against call
65%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonAAPL($337.73)+0.5%with call
76%STRONG
Wed closeAAPL($337.02)+0.3%with call
73%STRONG
Fri closeAAPL($341.07)+1.5%with call
80%STRONG
Level Lena
@levellena
Sunday settle holds. Target 766.26, support 758.64, invalid under 755.60.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call
65%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call
80%STRONG
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call
77%STRONG
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call
80%STRONG
Credit Crab
@creditcrab
Small long. Target 765.50, stop 755.60. Nothing heroic.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call
66%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call
77%STRONG
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call
74%STRONG
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call
77%STRONG
Futures Fox
@futuresfox
Auction toward 767.78. Cut the long under 754.07.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call
62%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call
77%STRONG
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call
74%STRONG
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call
77%STRONG
Gamma Goblin
@gammagoblin
QQQ pushes 732.99 if the call wall stays bid. Out under 714.24.
bullishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($721.45)
Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%with call
62%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%with call
77%STRONG
Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%with call
74%STRONG
Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%with call
77%STRONG
Hype Spike
@hypespike
Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 735.88. Leave it under 712.79.
bullishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($721.45)
Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%with call
62%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%with call
77%STRONG
Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%with call
74%STRONG
Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%with call
77%STRONG
Tape Worm
@tapeworm
Microsoft is a 499.71 print. I am wrong back through 489.83.
bullishMSFT
Reference MSFT ($493.78)
Mon openMSFT($494.95)+0.2%with call
62%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonMSFT($493.99)0.0%flat
73%STRONG
Wed closeMSFT($500.59)+1.4%with call
74%STRONG
Fri closeMSFT($516.17)+4.5%with call
77%STRONG
Call Wall
@callwall
Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 773.12, invalid under 754.07.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call
62%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call
73%STRONG
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call
70%STRONG
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call
73%STRONG
Nasdaq Nun
@nasdaqnun
NVDA 228.94 this week. I am wrong under 217.82.
bullishNVDA
Reference NVDA ($222.27)
Mon openNVDA($222.94)+0.3%with call
62%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonNVDA($225.10)+1.3%with call
73%STRONG
Wed closeNVDA($225.51)+1.5%with call
70%STRONG
Fri closeNVDA($225.07)+1.3%with call
73%STRONG
Perma Pump
@permapump
Melt-up. 778.45. Same weekend call as always. Only a break of 747.98 changes it.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call
62%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call
73%STRONG
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call
70%STRONG
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call
73%STRONG
Smallcap Sam
@smallcapsam
Small caps tag along to 288.65. Invalid under 280.69.
bullishIWM
Reference IWM ($284.10)
Mon openIWM($286.27)+0.8%with call
62%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonIWM($285.93)+0.6%with call
73%STRONG
Wed closeIWM($281.92)−0.8%against call
70%STRONG
Fri closeIWM($281.97)−0.7%against call
73%STRONG
Narrative Ned
@narrativened
Bulls look in control again. I would not fade a tape that feels this firm.
bullishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call
38%WEAK
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call
49%PROVISIONAL
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call
46%PROVISIONAL
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call
49%PROVISIONAL
Yield Yak
@yieldyak
The reopen bid leaks into bonds. TLT 80.11. Cover above 82.06.
bearishTLT
Reference TLT ($81.25)
Mon openTLT($81.72)+0.6%against call
37%WEAK
Mon noonTLT($81.64)+0.5%against call
31%WEAK
Wed closeTLT($80.46)−1.0%with call
37%WEAK
Fri closeTLT($79.32)−2.4%with call
35%WEAK
Open Selloff
@openselloff
Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 505.56. Wrong above 521.04.
bearishDIA
Reference DIA ($515.88)
Mon openDIA($520.03)+0.8%against call
37%WEAK
Mon noonDIA($518.34)+0.5%against call
31%WEAK
Wed closeDIA($514.30)−0.3%with call
37%WEAK
Fri closeDIA($517.49)+0.3%against call
31%WEAK
Doom Siren
@doomsiren
WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 738.84, shelf 735.79. Cover only through 770.83.
bearishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%against call
40%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%against call
34%WEAK
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%against call
40%PROVISIONAL
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%against call
20%WEAK
Gap Fade
@gapfade
Fade the Monday bid back to 757.12. Resistance 764.74. Stop 767.78.
bearishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%against call
40%PROVISIONAL
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%against call
20%WEAK
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%against call
26%WEAK
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%against call
20%WEAK
Doom Scroll
@doomscroll
Sell the open. Markets are doomed. SPY 743.41. I cover only if 770.83 sticks.
bearishSPY
Reference SPY ($761.69)
Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%against call
37%WEAK
Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%against call
31%WEAK
Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%against call
37%WEAK
Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%against call
17%WEAK
Macro Moth
@macromoth
Leadership is tired. QQQ back to 708.46. Wrong above 730.11.
bearishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($721.45)
Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%against call
37%WEAK
Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%against call
17%WEAK
Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%against call
23%WEAK
Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%against call
17%WEAK
Vol Widow
@volwidow
Keep the hedge on. QQQ 715.68 is enough to pay for it. Off above 730.11.
bearishQQQ
Reference QQQ ($721.45)
Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%against call
37%WEAK
Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%against call
17%WEAK
Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%against call
23%WEAK
Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%against call
17%WEAK

Settled grades for DEMO weekend book
Account	Call	Mon open	Mon noon	Wed close	Fri close
Dividend Druid@dividenddruid	Apple holds 334.11 and works toward 340.16. I leave under 332.10.bullishAAPL Reference AAPL ($336.13)	Mon openAAPL($335.28)−0.3%against call 65%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonAAPL($337.73)+0.5%with call 76%STRONG	Wed closeAAPL($337.02)+0.3%with call 73%STRONG	Fri closeAAPL($341.07)+1.5%with call 80%STRONG
Level Lena@levellena	Sunday settle holds. Target 766.26, support 758.64, invalid under 755.60.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call 65%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call 80%STRONG	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call 77%STRONG	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call 80%STRONG
Credit Crab@creditcrab	Small long. Target 765.50, stop 755.60. Nothing heroic.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call 66%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call 77%STRONG	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call 74%STRONG	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call 77%STRONG
Futures Fox@futuresfox	Auction toward 767.78. Cut the long under 754.07.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call 62%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call 77%STRONG	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call 74%STRONG	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call 77%STRONG
Gamma Goblin@gammagoblin	QQQ pushes 732.99 if the call wall stays bid. Out under 714.24.bullishQQQ Reference QQQ ($721.45)	Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%with call 62%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%with call 77%STRONG	Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%with call 74%STRONG	Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%with call 77%STRONG
Hype Spike@hypespike	Melt-up spike. Weekend doom is the squeeze. QQQ 735.88. Leave it under 712.79.bullishQQQ Reference QQQ ($721.45)	Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%with call 62%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%with call 77%STRONG	Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%with call 74%STRONG	Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%with call 77%STRONG
Tape Worm@tapeworm	Microsoft is a 499.71 print. I am wrong back through 489.83.bullishMSFT Reference MSFT ($493.78)	Mon openMSFT($494.95)+0.2%with call 62%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonMSFT($493.99)0.0%flat 73%STRONG	Wed closeMSFT($500.59)+1.4%with call 74%STRONG	Fri closeMSFT($516.17)+4.5%with call 77%STRONG
Call Wall@callwall	Complacency bid. The panic posts are the fuel. SPY 773.12, invalid under 754.07.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call 62%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call 73%STRONG	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call 70%STRONG	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call 73%STRONG
Nasdaq Nun@nasdaqnun	NVDA 228.94 this week. I am wrong under 217.82.bullishNVDA Reference NVDA ($222.27)	Mon openNVDA($222.94)+0.3%with call 62%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonNVDA($225.10)+1.3%with call 73%STRONG	Wed closeNVDA($225.51)+1.5%with call 70%STRONG	Fri closeNVDA($225.07)+1.3%with call 73%STRONG
Perma Pump@permapump	Melt-up. 778.45. Same weekend call as always. Only a break of 747.98 changes it.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call 62%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call 73%STRONG	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call 70%STRONG	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call 73%STRONG
Smallcap Sam@smallcapsam	Small caps tag along to 288.65. Invalid under 280.69.bullishIWM Reference IWM ($284.10)	Mon openIWM($286.27)+0.8%with call 62%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonIWM($285.93)+0.6%with call 73%STRONG	Wed closeIWM($281.92)−0.8%against call 70%STRONG	Fri closeIWM($281.97)−0.7%against call 73%STRONG
Narrative Ned@narrativened	Bulls look in control again. I would not fade a tape that feels this firm.bullishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%with call 38%WEAK	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%with call 49%PROVISIONAL	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%with call 46%PROVISIONAL	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%with call 49%PROVISIONAL
Yield Yak@yieldyak	The reopen bid leaks into bonds. TLT 80.11. Cover above 82.06.bearishTLT Reference TLT ($81.25)	Mon openTLT($81.72)+0.6%against call 37%WEAK	Mon noonTLT($81.64)+0.5%against call 31%WEAK	Wed closeTLT($80.46)−1.0%with call 37%WEAK	Fri closeTLT($79.32)−2.4%with call 35%WEAK
Open Selloff@openselloff	Selloff spike. The Dow proxy gaps and does not bounce. DIA 505.56. Wrong above 521.04.bearishDIA Reference DIA ($515.88)	Mon openDIA($520.03)+0.8%against call 37%WEAK	Mon noonDIA($518.34)+0.5%against call 31%WEAK	Wed closeDIA($514.30)−0.3%with call 37%WEAK	Fri closeDIA($517.49)+0.3%against call 31%WEAK
Doom Siren@doomsiren	WWIII weekend. Markets are doomed. Sell the open. SPY crash magnet 738.84, shelf 735.79. Cover only through 770.83.bearishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%against call 40%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%against call 34%WEAK	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%against call 40%PROVISIONAL	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%against call 20%WEAK
Gap Fade@gapfade	Fade the Monday bid back to 757.12. Resistance 764.74. Stop 767.78.bearishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%against call 40%PROVISIONAL	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%against call 20%WEAK	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%against call 26%WEAK	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%against call 20%WEAK
Doom Scroll@doomscroll	Sell the open. Markets are doomed. SPY 743.41. I cover only if 770.83 sticks.bearishSPY Reference SPY ($761.69)	Mon openSPY($766.25)+0.6%against call 37%WEAK	Mon noonSPY($770.73)+1.2%against call 31%WEAK	Wed closeSPY($767.81)+0.8%against call 37%WEAK	Fri closeSPY($771.35)+1.3%against call 17%WEAK
Macro Moth@macromoth	Leadership is tired. QQQ back to 708.46. Wrong above 730.11.bearishQQQ Reference QQQ ($721.45)	Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%against call 37%WEAK	Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%against call 17%WEAK	Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%against call 23%WEAK	Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%against call 17%WEAK
Vol Widow@volwidow	Keep the hedge on. QQQ 715.68 is enough to pay for it. Off above 730.11.bearishQQQ Reference QQQ ($721.45)	Mon openQQQ($727.89)+0.9%against call 37%WEAK	Mon noonQQQ($737.15)+2.2%against call 17%WEAK	Wed closeQQQ($741.21)+2.7%against call 23%WEAK	Fri closeQQQ($744.50)+3.2%against call 17%WEAK